USDC / USDT 0.01%Aerodrome · Base

Live
Re-scored daily against live campaign data

Every pool looks deep until the incentives stop.

Cleaton publishes a signed, bonded estimate of how long a pool's liquidity will hold — a horizon in days and a calibrated confidence, cheap enough to read from a contract and precise enough to be provably wrong.

Every feature derives from public state. No licensed or privileged data.

DefiLlama
Merkl
Blockscout
Alchemy
Foundry
EIP-712
DefiLlama
Merkl
Blockscout
Alchemy
Foundry
EIP-712

The measurement layer for
on-chain liquidity

Campaign expires in 11 days12 Jun
Horizon cut to 9 days13 Jun
Outflow begins — 18% in 48h14 Jun
Breach at θ = 0.715 Jun
Horizon-to-breach timeline

The horizon is published before the cliff, re-scored daily as the campaign decays, and checked against what actually happened.

Feature commitment

featureRoot commits every input at signing time. Any single feature can be revealed later with an inclusion proof.

Daily re-attestationDay 3

2,940 / 3,412 pools

Reliability diagram updated22 Jun
Scheduled re-attestation

The whole covered universe is re-scored as one batched run, with the public calibration record updated the same day.

Expiring campaignsExposure
1stETH / ETH$42,000
2USDe / USDC$28,500
3cbBTC / USDC$15,200
Re-scoring per pool
Expiry calendar

Every tracked campaign, subsidy, and unlock on one forward timeline, with aggregate exposure per date.

ChallengeBreached

USDe / USDC

TWAP liquidity below θ · day 6 of 9
Checkpoint submitted with storage proof16 Jun
Registry verifies proof against blockhash19 Jun
Bond slashed, challenger paid22 June
Permissionless challenge

Anyone can checkpoint a breach and claim the bond. Cleaton cannot outlast a challenge by declining to record its own miss.

Short horizon
20USDe / USDC · 4d3d ago
35cbBTC / USDC · 6d3d ago
Long horizon
80USDC / USDT · 74d1d ago
90wstETH / ETH · 91d2d ago
A horizon on every covered pool

Every covered pool scored against the same committed method. Horizon, confidence, and retention threshold published together.

USDe / USDC
Counterfactual query20 mins

What horizon would this pool have if the campaign were extended thirty days? What emission rate sustains ninety days at 0.8 confidence?

Begin
Counterfactual horizons

Re-price a horizon under a hypothetical emission schedule, lock structure, or whale exit. No re-estimation required.

Alerts
Horizon crossed below 7 daysJust now
Confidence fell below 0.61m ago
OUT_OF_SUPPORT flag raised3m ago

Four positions crossed your threshold. Webhooks fired; the rotation hook has already been called.

Just now

Threshold webhooks

Horizon drops, confidence drops, and flag changes push a callback the moment they cross your threshold.

TWAP liquidity fell below threshold.
Checkpoint submitted
Storage proofverified
Breach condition evaluated
Two numbers compared, no vote
Bond slashed
Challenger paid, reserve credited
Miss written to the public record
Breach adjudication

A challenger submits a hash and a block. The contract reads its own checkpoint and compares two numbers. No dispute layer.

Horizon drop
Webhook fired
Vault rotates
Action logged to record
Auto-rotate hooks

A horizon transition fires a webhook your vault acts on. No human in the loop, no dashboard to watch.

Chat
Which of my pools share a campaign sponsor?
Scoreboard
Ask the record

Query every attestation ever published and what actually happened to it, in plain language.

USDe / USDC · 4dPool
First attested12 Jan
Campaign expiry – 11 days outε⁻ estimated at 3.115 Jan
Concentration: top 3 hold 61%HHI rising20 Jan
Breach recordedTWAP below θ on day 618 July
The live pool record

Every attestation, every feature commitment, and every realised outcome for a pool on one timeline.

Alerts
28%
downward elasticity
Median tenure
19d
downward elasticity
Breaches
14%
this month
Elasticity, tenure, and concentration

The features that move a horizon, shown as levels rather than as a signal to trade against.

MCP

Copy the MCP server URL below and add it to your agent runtime (Claude Desktop, or any MCP client).

https://mcp.cleaton.xyz/sse
Cleaton MCP

Let an agent query a horizon before it commits capital, as a native tool call.

Read the horizon, gate the deposit, rotate before the cliff.

Contracts read a horizon at allocation time, agents query it before committing capital, and hooks act on it when it moves.

28

Summary

USDe / USDC on Base. Attested at 9 days, confidence 0.74. Campaign expired on day 8; TWAP liquidity fell below θ = 0.7 on day 6. Read more

Breach
Did liquidity hold above
the threshold, within the horizon?
Breached0/5

Time-weighted liquidity fell to 0.61 of reference on day 6, inside the stated 9-day horizon and below the committed 0.7 threshold. A challenger checkpointed the block and claimed the bond. This attestation is recorded as a miss.

Held checks (6)Out of support checks (2)

Check 1

Retention is measured on the infimum over the interval, not the endpoint. A pool that collapses on day four and recovers by day nine has not retained.

"The visible depth of a pool and the durability of that depth are different quantities, and on-chain systems currently conflate them."

Cleaton whitepaper

Durability Attestation for Autonomous Capital

Design commitments
stated in advance.

Read-only. Falsifiable by construction. Publicly scored, including the misses. Every attestation pinned to a model hash.

Read more

Read-only

Cleaton never custodies funds and holds no position in any pool it scores. There is no strategy, no vault, no fund.

Falsifiable

Every attestation carries an explicit horizon and threshold. There is no interpretive room about whether it held.

Publicly scored

Every attestation and its realised outcome is published permanently, including failures. Calibration is reported, not claimed.

Pinned method

Each attestation commits to a model hash, so a change in method is visible in the record rather than hidden inside an accuracy improvement.

Today a pool held together by a thirty-day campaign and a pool that grew on its own report the same number. Every contract reads that number. The exit queue forms before anything on-chain changes.

Pool B
TVL
$500M
Campaign
$500M
Expiry
11 days
Allocator
Depth looks fine. Median tenure is 19 days.04:41 PM
Top three depositors hold 61%.06:23 PM
Allocator
Campaign ended. Where did the book go?08:02 AM
Exit is executing into a book that no longer exists.08:05 AM

Reads only the state that
is already public.

Public aggregators, campaign metadata, and raw chain events. Every feature is independently recomputable — a guarantee nobody else can check is not a guarantee.

Base
Merkl
Lending markets
Blockscout
Alchemy
Stablecoin pools
Base
Arbitrum
Foundry

Publish a horizon. Get scored on it in public.

Durability attestation for autonomous capital. Signed, bonded, and checked against what actually happened — hits and misses alike.